Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3678 · DFW → MEM
departs 3:10 PM CT · arrives 4:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 46%
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.