MQ 3710 · MIA → MCI

departs 2:23 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 2pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.27 in

MCI (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3710 · MIA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?