Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3752
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3752 · ORD → HPN
departs 7:39 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at HPN that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.