MQ 3754 · MIA → GSO

departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.30 in

GSO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3754 · MIA → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?