MQ 3798 · DFW → CID

departs 6:36 PM CT · arrives 8:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±6 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.05 in

CID (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3798 · DFW → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?