Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 4008 · LIT → DFW
departs 5:38 PM CT · arrives 7:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 68%
Sat 10/3 47%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±7 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.90 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.