Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4142
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 4142 · ICT → DFW
departs 11:25 AM CT · arrives 12:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±8 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
11am departures from ICT are usually not late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.78 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.