Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4146
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 4146 · LIT → CLT
departs 1:24 PM CT · arrives 4:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 18%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.