Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 4282 · DFW → COU
departs 8:33 PM CT · arrives 10:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at COU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to COU?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at COU that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
COU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.18 in
COU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.