Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4290
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 4290 · CID → DFW
departs 7:28 AM CT · arrives 9:48 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 26%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
22%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CID that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CID (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.82 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.