Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4308
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 4308 · DFW → GPT
departs 9:12 PM CT · arrives 10:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 48%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
29%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at GPT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to GPT?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.74 in
GPT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.