Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
PSA · FLIGHT OH 5159SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
OH 5159 · DAY → DCA
departs 9:34 AM ET · arrives 11:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.