Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5220 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

OH 5220 · CLT → IAD

departs 11:05 AM ET · arrives 12:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5220 · CLT → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?