OH 5291 · CLT → PIA

departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at PIA that day

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ PIA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5291 · CLT → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?