OH 5308 · CLT → OAJ

departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at OAJ more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OAJ?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

OAJ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5308 · CLT → OAJ

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAJ?