Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5376 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

OH 5376 · DCA → GRR

departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 10:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5376 · DCA → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?