Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5418 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

OH 5418 · SYR → DCA

departs 8:28 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ SYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5418 · SYR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?