Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5429 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

OH 5429 · CLT → PNS

departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5429 · CLT → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?