OH 5483 · CLT → LEX

departs 7:21 PM ET · arrives 8:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into LEX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LEX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5483 · CLT → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?