OH 5485 · CLT → HSV

departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 8:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5485 · CLT → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?