OH 5491 · CLT → ROA

departs 12:14 PM ET · arrives 1:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ROA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into ROA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ROA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5491 · CLT → ROA

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROA?