Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5590 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

OH 5590 · PHL → RDU

departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5590 · PHL → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?