Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3084
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
OO 3084 · AUS → SAN
departs 2:59 PM CT · arrives 4:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 30%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SAN that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.69 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.