Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3084
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3084 · AUS → SAN
departs 2:59 PM CT · arrives 4:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
AUS is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.41 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.