Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3536
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 3536 · MSP → XNA
departs 9:10 AM CT · arrives 11:08 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 14%
Mon 10/5 9%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
XNA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.