Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3542 · ICT → MSP
departs 7:23 AM CT · arrives 9:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3 5%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.30 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.