Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 3791 · MSP → OKC
departs 6:10 PM CT · arrives 8:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Wed 9/30 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 1.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.