Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 3843 · GRB → MSP
departs 4:14 PM CT · arrives 5:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave GRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GRB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.05 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.