Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4032
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 4032 · MSP → MSN
departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 2:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MSN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MSN that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
MSN usually runs smoothly
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
MSN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.96 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.