Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4035
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4035 · MSP → MEM
departs 8:05 PM CT · arrives 10:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 13%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MEM at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.