Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4130 · MSP → MOT
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 4:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MOT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MOT?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MOT
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
MOT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.