Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4166 · DTW → ATW
departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
5pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ATW that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.