Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4284
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 4284 · MSP → XWA
departs 1:00 PM CT · arrives 2:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 10%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at XWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XWA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
XWA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.