Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4291
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4291 · MSP → BJI
departs 9:45 PM CT · arrives 10:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at BJI more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BJI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at BJI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BJI?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BJI
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
BJI (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.