Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4462 · MSP → MKE
departs 4:58 PM CT · arrives 6:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
4pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.