Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4464
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4464 · MSP → MKE
departs 6:10 PM CT · arrives 7:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.