Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4809
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4809 · ORD → ICT
departs 8:52 AM CT · arrives 11:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.