Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4834
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4834 · ORD → LWB
departs 3:22 PM CT · arrives 6:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 66%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LWB more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LWB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LWB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LWB?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at LWB that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
LWB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.