Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4834 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 4834 · ORD → LWB

departs 3:22 PM CT · arrives 6:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at LWB more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LWB?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ LWB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,067 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.20 in

LWB (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4834 · ORD → LWB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LWB?