OO 4895 · CLT → LIT

departs 8:28 AM ET · arrives 9:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into LIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4895 · CLT → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?