OO 5091 · IAH → CHA

departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

↓ CHA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

CHA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5091 · IAH → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?