Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5091
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5091 · IAH → CHA
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at CHA that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
CHA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.42 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.