Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5091
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5091 · IAH → CHA
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
CHA usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 2,400 ft
Visibility 2.5 mi
Precip 1.40 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.