Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5091
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5091 · IAH → CHA
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at CHA that day
↓
CHA usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.21 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.