Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5118 · IAD → MGW
departs 10:35 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MGW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MGW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MGW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MGW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from IAD are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MGW
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MGW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.