Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5211 · DEN → DSM
departs 9:50 AM MT · arrives 12:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DSM that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DSM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DSM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.