Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5233 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

OO 5233 · DEN → AMA

departs 2:10 PM MT · arrives 4:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AMA that day

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AMA (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5233 · DEN → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?