OO 5278 · IAH → OKC

departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±6 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.16 in

OKC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5278 · IAH → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?