Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5278
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5278 · IAH → OKC
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
6pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at OKC that day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.49 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.