OO 5288 · PSP → IAH

departs 12:04 PM PT · arrives 5:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

PSP (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5288 · PSP → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?